Victor Estrella – Bernard Tomic betting preview 19 July

VictorEstrella-BernardTomicbettingpreview19July|Betdistrict。

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19,2014at7:07GMT+3inEditor`spicks|0Comment|2,682ViewsShareTweetVictorEstrellaBurgosislookingtoreachhisfirsteverATPlevelfinal,butthetalented,nonconformistAustralianBernardTomicwillbeatoughnuttocrack。

Clashofgenerationshere。

Listen,IrespectEstrellaalot。

Thisguyisplayingthebesttennisofhisliferightnowevenifhe`scloseto34yearsold,andjustgotthebiggestwinofhiscareeryesterdayagainstRichardGasquet。

The6-36-4victorywasimpressive,especiallyconsideringthatEstrellaonlyputin45%ofhisfirstserves。

However,withouttakingtoomuchcreditfromtheDominicanplayer,thefactisthatGasquetdidnotcomepreparedandfocusedhereatBogota,asmalltournament。

HeplayedpooragainstGrothinthefirstroundaswell,playedevenworsetodayandhisexitisnotacompleteshocker。

Estrellaisplayinggoodtennis,hedidnotloseasetagainstLondero,PolanskiandGasquet,buthedoeshavecertainlimitationsandweshouldntlooktomuchathisvictoryagainstRichard。

ThetalentedBernardTomicisstrugglingtofulfillhispotential,hedoesnotmanagetofindconsistencyinhisplay,butthisweekheplayedsomeofhisbesttennisinalongtimeandit`snotacompletesurprise,giventhefactthatheplayedanexcellentmatchagainstBerdychinWimbledonaswell。

TomiceasilydispatchedDustov,FallaandPospisilsofarwithoutlosingasingleset。

Thesemightnotbeworld-beatingplayers,butFallaandPospisilarenomugs,Fallaactuallyhadafinaltodefendhereinhishometowntournament。

RightnowTomicisgoingintherightdirectionandthewayhehasbeenplayingthisweek,helookslikethefavoritetowinthewholething。

Hecutdownhisunforcederrorsalot,serveswell,playsmoreaggressivethanusually。

DespitecrackingtheTOP100forthefirsttimethisyear,EstrellaactuallyleadsTomic1-0intheH2Hcategoryandhiswincamejustacoupleofmonthsagoonclayin2sets。

However,Tomichatesclay,andhewasinamuchworseshapethanheisnow。

Ananalysisofthematchupwillnotrevealanythingworthmentioning。

BetwiththebestoddsandhighestlimitsatPinnacle。

ThereareacoupleoffactorsthatareartificiallyincreasingtheoddsforTomichere。

First,there`sEstrellavictoryagainstGasquetwiththatimpressivescoreline,butasIsaidRichardwasfarfromhisbestandweknowhecanlosetoanyonewhenhe`snotfocused。

There`salsothefactthatthematchisplayedinSouthAmerica,whichfavorsEstrella,butthiscanonlyhavealimitedimpact。

Notlastly,Estrella`swinthisyearsurelyhassomethingtodowiththeopeningodds,butasIpreviouslysaidthecircumstancesweretotallydifferent。

IreckonTomichasmuchmoregoingforhimtodaythanEstrella。

Firstly,he`samuchbetterplayerofcourse,andheisinexcellentform。

IdonotthinkEstrellahastheweaponstodefeataplayerofTomicsqualityifthatplayerisingoodform,andthisisthekeyargumenthere。

Ireallydon`tseeEstrellahavingwhatittakestopulloffsuchafeathe`sagoodchallengerplayer,that`sit,heisingoodformforhisstandardsbutbenefitedfromaneasydrawuntilmeetingaGasquetwhowasnotreallyinterestedinwinningthematchhewaspainfultowatchonthereturn,justhittingtheballindisgust。

Tomicsyouthshouldalsohelphimagainsta34yearoldplayer,especiallysinceTomicisadefensiveplayerthatforcesyoutorunandhitanextra-shotonmostpoints。

Ofcourse,there`salsoachancethatEstrellawillsufferaletdownafterthebiggestwinofhislife。

AllinallIthinkthebookiesgotthistotallywrong,andtheoddshavestaredtodropjustminutesaftertheywerereleasedinthetimeIwrotethispick,Pinnacledroppedtheprice2timesfrom1。

72to1。

66andthan1。

65。

Tomicisinexcellentform,playingexcellenttennis,andheshouldbeabletoeasilydispatchEstrellawithouteverbeinginrealdangertolose。

Consideringtheodds,Imustgowith10units,thevalueisjustgreat。

Anythingover1。

50onTomicisworthabetwithhighstakesinmyhumbleopinion。

MytipisTomictowin,expecthimtopushEstrellauntilheforceserrorsfromhim,withtheDominicaneventuallyrunningoutofsteam。

Prediction:VictorEstrellaBurgosBernardTomic6-74-6。

Ofcourse,Ireckonyoushouldtakethebetearlyifyouagreewithmyanalysis,I`mprettysuretheoddswillcontinuetodrop。

Pick:BernardTomicOdds:1。

65@PinnacleStake:10Possibleprofit:6。

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